Global Warming: You must ask the right questions.
First, let me say that much of the current global warming debate is little more than a colossal boondoggle. Is global warming real? It may surprise you to hear that my answer is yes, it probably is. That’s not the right question, at least not by itself. How can I sit here in the coldest January in a decade and talk about global warming? Again, that’s the wrong question. In the case of looking at your kitchen thermometer, and drawing conclusions about the global climate, well that’s a naive approach at best. Climate and climate change (which yes it does change), are very complex subjects. Here’s the thing though, you must ask the right questions. There is not just one question which must be answered, there are at least five:
- Is the global climate warming?
- If the climate is warming, then is that a bad thing?
- If the climate is warming, is this caused by mankind?
- If the climate is warming, and it’s caused by mankind, then can it be fixed?
- If it can be fixed, then will any of the current proposals do the job
Now maybe you can answer yes to the first four (but I’d argue that the matter is far from settled), but even so, the last question is the death-knell for the Climate Change movement (at least in its present form). You see, there are no viable proposals on the table to deal with the “problem” of climate change. There is no end of bad and ill-conceived ideas, but no viable solutions. Now of course, in all of this, I haven’t given my own opinion on the subject.
So, is climate change (that’s the new PC name for global warming) real? Yeah, I think so. According to the scientific evidence, our global climate is very dynamic. Is the climate today warmer than it was in the past? Well, that depends upon how far back you want to look. The climate today is significantly warmer than it was in the 1300’s, for example, but in the last decade, it’s virtually unchanged. If we look at Arctic Ice Core data, then we find that in the far distant past (before the Ice Ages), the global climate was substantially warmer than it is today, and if we believe the Snowball Earth theory, then before that it was very substantially colder. Now, the question you have to ask is this: How does the time since the Industrial Revolution compare to the geologic history of the planet?
Now, the next thing that must be taken into account is the fact that there was an Ice Age only about 11,000 years ago, and a “Little Ice Age” much more recently than that. So in light of that, I would expect the global climate to be warming. I also think that the human contribution to this warming is overstated at best.
So why all this fervor over climate change? One word, money. Follow the money, always follow the money. I should say a lot more, but this post is already long enough. I’ll save anything else for a future installment.
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